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Global shares ease ahead of Fed test, dollar hits two-month high

LONDON (Reuters) – Global shares eased on Monday and the dollar hit a two-month high against a basket of currencies as markets counted down to a likely cut in U.S. interest rates this week, with much riding on whether the Federal Reserve signals yet more are t... More »

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Dollar near two-month top after U.S. GDP, pound hits 28-month low

TOKYO (Reuters) – The dollar clung to a two-month high against a basket of currencies in Asia on Monday after better-than-expected U.S. GDP data last week enhanced its yield attraction against rival currencies. The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cu... More »

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Reassuring Chinese data nudges shares higher

LONDON (Reuters) – Surprisingly upbeat economic soundings from China lifted the global markets mood on Monday, pushing world shares toward an 18-month high and steering the Aussie dollar and copper upwards. Investors were waiting for a torrent of second-quarte... More »

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China refiners curb fuel output after massive new plants stoke glut

SINGAPORE/BEIJING (Reuters) – China’s fuel producers are making extended curbs to their output in the third quarter after supply from mammoth new refineries stoked an already-sizeable glut, potentially dragging on crude oil demand from the world’s biggest impo... More »

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Oil prices tread water as market eyes global risks

TOKYO (Reuters) – Crude prices were little changed on Monday as traders weighed geopolitical risks against the impact of the Sino-U.S. trade war on the global economy, although last week’s better-than-expected U.S. jobs data offered some supprt. Brent crude fu... More »

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Why U.S. small caps may lag despite U.S.-China trade truce

NEW YORK (Reuters) – A truce in the trade war between the United States and China that pushed large-cap stocks to new record highs Monday does not appear to be enough to buoy the shares of small U.S. companies that are struggling under the weight of higher tar... More »

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OPEC set to extend oil supply cut as Iran endorses pact

VIENNA (Reuters) – OPEC and its allies look set to extend oil supply cuts this week at least until the end of 2019 as Iran joined top producers Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Russia in endorsing a policy aimed at propping up the price of crude amid a weakening global ... More »

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Brent oil jumps over $2 as OPEC+ poised to extend supply cut

LONDON (Reuters) – Oil prices rose over $2 a barrel on Monday as OPEC and its allies looked on track to extend supply cuts until at least the end of 2019 at their meeting in Vienna this week. Front-month Brent crude futures touched an intraday high of $66.75 a... More »

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European shares rally on U.S-China trade reprieve, STOXX 50 hits…

(Reuters) – European shares rose broadly on Monday with the STOXX 50 index hitting its highest level in 17 months, as investors piled into riskier assets after the United States and China agreed to restart trade negotiations after a long lull. President Donald... More »

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Euro zone factory activity contracted for fifth month in June: PMI

LONDON (Reuters) – Factory activity in the euro zone shrank faster last month than previously thought in a broad-based downturn, according to a survey on Monday that suggested there would be no quick turnaround. The downbeat data will likely add to calls for t... More »

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Dollar struggles after biggest weekly drop in four months- G20 eyed

LONDON (Reuters) – The dollar was on the back foot on Monday after sustaining its biggest weekly drop in four months last week as traders remained cautious about the prospects of trade talks between the United States and China at this week’s G20 summit. The gr... More »

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Asia stocks climb pre-G20, oil up on U.S.-Iran feud

TOKYO/HONG KONG (Reuters) – Stock markets in Asia inched higher on Monday on hopes that U.S. and Chinese leaders will be able to get trade talks back on track this week, while oil prices bounced on political tensions between Tehran and Washington. European mar... More »

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U.S. recession odds rise to 40-45% in six months: DoubleLine’s…

(Reuters) – Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive officer of DoubleLine Capital, said on Thursday the odds of the United States sliding into a recession in the next six months have risen to 40-45% and the odds were 65% within the next year. Gundlach, who oversees ... More »

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Oil rises on supply cuts, but weak economy holds market back

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Oil prices rose on Monday after Saudi Arabia said producer club OPEC and Russia should restrict supplies to current levels, while Washington’s withdrawal of a tariff threat against Mexico removed a cloud over the global economy. However, ... More »

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China exports grow despite U.S. tariffs, but import slump most in…

BEIJING (Reuters) – China’s exports unexpectedly returned to growth in May despite higher U.S. tariffs, but imports fell the most in nearly three years in a further sign of weak domestic demand that could prompt Beijing to step up stimulus measures. Some analy... More »

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World bonds wave recession flags as future inflation evaporates

LONDON (Reuters) – After almost three years of successfully predicting a global economic revival, world bond markets are furiously flagging the risk of yet another recession, as well as low inflation for a generation. Spooked by the escalating U.S.-China trade... More »

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Investment grade bond funds suck in record $12.3 billion as…

LONDON (Reuters) – Investors plowed a record $12.3 billion into investment grade bond funds and ditched equities over the past week, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Friday, as worries over trade tensions and the world economy reinforced a run for safe-ha... More »

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Global recession fears grow as manufacturing shrinks across Asia

HONG KONG (Reuters) – Factory activity contracted in most Asian countries last month as an escalating trade war between Washington and Beijing raised fears of a global economic downturn and heaped pressure on policymakers in the region and beyond to roll out m... More »

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BOJ’s Kuroda sounds alarm on global economy ahead of G20

TOKYO (Reuters) – Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Monday the global economic outlook is highly uncertain, and there are downside risks due to trade friction, China’s slowing economy and Britain’s negotiations to leave the European Union. “There ... More »

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Euro zone banking at risk of dangerous fragmentation, ECB warns

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Euro zone banks are turning away from cross-border activity, putting at risk the bloc’s banking union and raising the risk of dangerous fragmentation, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Thursday. With national ru... More »

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Investors pull more than $20 billion from stocks on ‘trade deal…

LONDON (Reuters) – Global equities have seen outflows of $20.5 billion in the past week as “trade deal trauma” pushed more money into bonds, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Friday, the latest sign of how growing global trade tensions are roiling financia... More »

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Yuan leads losers as global risk appetite sours

LONDON (Reuters) – The Chinese yuan was set for its biggest drop in 10 months on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to raise tariffs on China while perceived safe-haven currencies such as the yen surged amid a broad-based rout for risky assets... More »

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Global stocks edge up as S&P 500 erases early losses- euro firms

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Global equity markets edged higher on Tuesday as the Dow and S&P 500 indexes erased early lows caused by weak Chinese business surveys and a tumble in shares of Google parent Alphabet, while the euro strengthened on the heels of data that ... More »

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Asia stocks slip, oil near six-month peak as U.S. prepares to…

TOKYO (Reuters) – Asian shares slipped on Monday, weighed down by underperforming Chinese stocks, while oil prices rallied on news the United States is likely to ask all importers of Iranian oil to end their purchases or face sanctions. Brent and U.S. crude fu... More »

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Strong stock and bond markets at odds over global growth

NEW YORK (Reuters) – It looks like something has to give in global markets. Stocks and bonds around the world have rallied atypically together since the start of the year, rewarding investors both bullish and bearish on the direction of global growth. The main... More »

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Greece to strike deal this weekend to repay IMF early: official

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Greece is looking to strike a deal this weekend to repay early about half of the loans it received from the International Monetary Fund, in a bid to lower the euro zone member’s burden of debt servicing, a senior official said on Friday.... More »

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ECB model suggests euro zone growth could slow further: sources

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – An internal European Central Bank model indicates the euro zone’s economic growth could slow further in the second quarter, suggesting the projected recovery may be delayed even further, two sources familiar with the discussion said on F... More »

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Bank mergers key to stronger euro zone: French finance minister

BUCHAREST (Reuters) – Mergers in Europe’s fragmented banking sector are necessary to make the sector more resilient as the euro zone seeks to protect itself from future crises, France’s finance minister told Reuters in an interview. Bruno Le Maire, who joined ... More »

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‘Flashing amber’: Global stocks tumble, bonds rally on U.S….

SYDNEY (Reuters) – Investors ditched shares on Monday and fled to the safety of bonds as risk assets fell out of favor on growing fears of a U.S. recession, sending global yields plunging. The gloomy mood was expected to spread across Europe and U.S. markets, ... More »

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Fed’s Evans says wait-and-see approach is prudent

HONG KONG (Reuters) – With downside risks looming and uncertainties rife, the U.S. Federal Reserve is prudent to wait for more economic data before deciding whether its next move will be to raise rates, or cut them, Chicago Fed Bank President Charles Evans sai... More »

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Trump push for China trade reform draws wide support at home, abroad

WASHINGTON/BRUSSELS/BEIJING (Reuters) – U.S. President Donald Trump’s blunt-force use of tariffs in pursuing his “America First” trade agenda has angered many, from company executives to allied governments and members of both parties of Congress. But there’s o... More »

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Apple’s Cook to China: keep opening for sake of global economy

BEIJING (Reuters) – Apple chief executive Tim Cook nudged China on Saturday to open up and said the future would depend on global collaboration, as the United States and China remained locked in a bitter trade dispute. “We encourage China to continue to open u... More »

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With eye on Deutsche-Commerzbank, EU sends too big to fail warning

BRUSSELS (Reuters) – Euro zone banking watchdogs said banks planning mergers should make sure they could be wound down in a crisis, a warning likely to resonate with executives seeking to merge German giants Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank. The two lenders confi... More »

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Overdone? Short EU equities ‘most crowded’ trade for first time

LONDON (Reuters) – Fund managers have named bearish bets in European equities as the “most crowded” trade in Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s survey for the first time in its history, suggesting sentiment for one of the world’s most shunned markets may rise fro... More »

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Brexit spurs biggest cut in UK business investment in 10 years: BCC

LONDON (Reuters) – British companies look set to cut investment by the most in 10 years in 2019 because of Brexit, even if Prime Minister Theresa May gets a deal to ease the country out of the bloc, an employers group said on Monday. Business investment was fo... More »

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Japan’s machinery orders weaken as trade war hits spending plans

TOKYO (Reuters) – Japan’s machinery orders fell in January at the fastest pace in four months as the U.S.-China tariff war hit global trade, knocking demand from the country’s auto and telecommunications equipment manufacturing sectors lower. The 5.4 percent d... More »

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German industrial output falls unexpectedly in January

BERLIN (Reuters) – A plunge in car production drove an unexpected drop in German industrial output in January as the engine room of Europe’s largest economy, which narrowly avoided recession last year, stuttered amid trade friction and unease about Brexit. Ind... More »

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ECB papers over euro zone cracks with more bank loans

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – The European Central Bank’s fourth round of cheap long-term loans targeted at banks may steer euro zone lenders away from a cliff edge in funding. But it is a symptom of, rather than a cure for, the bloc’s economic malaise that appears to... More »

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ECB pushes out rate hike, offers cheap cash to banks

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – The European Central Bank changed tack on its tightening plan on Thursday, pushing out the timing of its first post-crisis rate hike until 2020 at the earliest and offering banks a new round of cheap loans to help revive the euro zone eco... More »

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Slowdown to showdown: Five questions for the ECB

LONDON (Reuters) – Two months after ending its massive stimulus scheme, the European Central Bank faces growing pressure to address how it will protect the euro zone economy from a protracted slowdown. Thursday’s policy meeting, news conference, and updated ec... More »

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Aussie, yuan inch up on U.S.-China trade optimism

TOKYO (Reuters) – The Australian dollar and the Chinese yuan inched up on hopes Washington and Beijing were close to a trade deal after a bitter year-long tariff dispute. Fuelling such expectations was a report from the Wall Street Journal on Sunday that said ... More »

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A day of reckoning for the ECB?

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – The European Central Bank has downplayed a global slowdown for months, but it will finally take a tentative step next week to prop up the euro zone economy, signaling fresh stimulus to keep banks lending. With a global trade war already b... More »

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Euro zone’s triple-A bond drought persists after ECB steps away

LONDON (Reuters) – High-grade euro zone debt remains scarce even though the European Central Bank has stopped its huge purchases of new bonds, intensifying concerns that banks will face future collateral shortages and highlighting the need for safe assets. The... More »

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Euro zone core inflation edges higher in Jan

BRUSSELS (Reuters) – Euro zone headline consumer inflation slowed slightly in January because of a sharp deceleration of energy price growth, but core inflation watched closely by the European Central Bank in policy decisions edged slightly higher, data showed... More »

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Hedge funds hunt for shipping debt in new market push

(Corrects Feb. 20 story to remove incorrect reference to sale of loans by Varde and Oakhill) By Jonathan Saul and Maiya Keidan LONDON (Reuters) – A growing number of hedge funds are moving into shipping debt, an asset class few have invested in before, looking... More »

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Explainer: What’s at stake in U.S.-China trade talks

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are in Beijing this week as Chinese and American negotiators try to hammer out a trade deal to ease a trade war and avert an increase in U.S. tariffs ... More »

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Darkening ‘global economic skies’ pull stocks lower

LONDON (Reuters) – Global stocks fell for a third straight day on Friday, and were set for their first weekly loss in seven, as investors worried about a broadening global economic slowdown and the lack of any sign of a resolution to the U.S.-China trade row. ... More »

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Key ECB supervision role to go unfilled in board-room impasse

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – A key euro zone banking supervision role is set to go unfilled for an indefinite time after ECB chief Mario Draghi failed to pick a successor in an unprecedented impasse at the crucial euro zone institution, sources familiar with the matt... More »

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Swisscom, Sunrise, Salt pay $380 million for Swiss 5G frequencies

ZURICH (Reuters) – Swisscom, Sunrise and Salt have paid a relatively modest 380 million Swiss francs ($379 million) for fifth-generation wireless frequencies that will tighten their grip on the Swiss mobile market. The three were able to secure an attractively... More »

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Small-cap stocks shrug off debt concerns, for the moment

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Small-cap stocks were among the biggest losers during the stock market’s rout late last year as investors worried about high leverage, but they have outperformed in 2019’s rebounding market, with shares of debt-laden companies leading the ... More »

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Explainer: Key Issues, implications of U.S.-China trade talks

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S.-China trade talks will reach a pivotal phase this week when Chinese Vice Premier Liu He comes to Washington for negotiations with his U.S. counterparts, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven ... More »