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Take Five: The devil’s in the data

LONDON (Reuters) – 1/ READY FOR A SCARY EURO ZONE GDP SHOW? Fears of a major downturn in euro zone powerhouse Germany grew this week following “scary” industrial output figures for June and reports due over the coming week that will hold those concerns up to t... More »

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U.S. bond yields rise on confusion over U.S. trade move

NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday amid confusion over the United States policy on trade with China, while political turmoil in Italy compounded investor concerns, capping a volatile week in the bond market. Treasury yields fell for a sec... More »

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Market weighs risk of negative U.S. Treasury yields

(Reuters) – Traders and analysts are considering whether U.S. bond yields would fall below zero as a record amount around the world sank into negative territory this week. The question has become a talking point, and less hypothetical, this week as the U.S. 30... More »

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Precious metal funds reap fourth biggest weekly inflows as…

LONDON (Reuters) – Precious metal funds recorded the fourth-largest inflows ever in the week to Wednesday and investment-grade funds sucked in money, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Friday, as rising trade tensions and global growth concerns prompted a d... More »

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Investors wade into U.S. stock funds as S&P 500 touches records

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Investors edged into the U.S. stock market last week, as the benchmark S&P 500 index hovered near record highs, by adding $1.1 billion into mutual funds and exchange-traded funds that hold domestic stocks, according to data released Wednes... More »

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Reassuring Chinese data nudges shares higher

LONDON (Reuters) – Surprisingly upbeat economic soundings from China lifted the global markets mood on Monday, pushing world shares toward an 18-month high and steering the Aussie dollar and copper upwards. Investors were waiting for a torrent of second-quarte... More »

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Hold the beers: Budweiser APAC IPO hit by investor push-back

HONG KONG/NEW YORK/BRUSSELS (Reuters) – Scepticism over AB InBev’s high valuations doomed Budweiser APAC’s IPO of up to $9.8 billion – poised to be the world’s biggest this year – investors and bankers said, putting would-be floats on notice that careful prici... More »

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Top Puerto Rico officials resign in group chat scandal that…

(This story has been corrected to fix a typo in final paragraph.) By Luis Valentin Ortiz SAN JUAN (Reuters) – Two of Puerto Rico’s top government officials resigned on Saturday following the publication of a bombshell group chat in which Governor Ricardo Rosse... More »

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Pelosi sets spending demands for two-year budget deal

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said on Saturday that a two-year budget agreement with the Trump administration must include equal increases in defense and nondefense spending, plus additional money for a program intended to improve heal... More »

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Fed seen cutting U.S. rates by 25 bps late July: BAML

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve will likely reduce key U.S. borrowing costs by a quarter point at its upcoming July 30-31 policy meeting with the chance of a 50 basis-point decrease, Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said on Wednesday. The U.S. c... More »

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Greek Conservatives take charge in landslide win, vow more…

ATHENS (Reuters) – Greece’s opposition conservatives returned to power with a landslide victory in snap elections on Sunday, and Prime Minister elect Kyriakos Mitsotakis said he had a clear mandate for change, pledging more investments and fewer taxes. The win... More »

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Stocks cheer trade reprieve, bonds reconsider rate cuts

LONDON/SYDNEY (Reuters) – Stocks rallied and bonds retreated on Monday as the United States and China agreed to restart trade talks, leading investors to pare wagers on aggressive policy easing by the major central banks. The dollar firmed on the safe-haven ye... More »

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Australian banks oppose regulator’s credit checks reform plan

SYDNEY (Reuters) – Australia’s Big Four lenders are pushing back on the regulator’s plan to require banks make detailed credit checks on borrowers to estimate loan affordability instead of relying on indices, with the No.2 lender saying such checks are not fea... More »

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Euro zone bank profitability may weaken on slowdown: ECB

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Profitability across the euro zone bank sector is low and weakening growth could further dampen the sector’s prospects, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Tuesday. Negative ECB rates are not the cause of the weak... More »

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UK puts mini-bond regulation under spotlight after LCF collapse

LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s finance ministry said on Monday it would look at whether the regulation regime around mini-bond investments, used to raise funds for small businesses, is up to scratch following the collapse of investment firm London Capital & Fina... More »

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Turkish assets rally after opposition wins Istanbul election

ISTANBUL (Reuters) – The Turkish lira, bonds and shares gained on Monday after the opposition dealt a stinging blow to President Tayyip Erdogan by winning control of Istanbul in a re-run mayoral election on Sunday. Turkish assets have lost value since March am... More »

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Mini-bill plan creates fissures within Italy’s League

MILAN (Reuters) – A controversial plan for Italy to issue so-called mini-bills to settle overdue state payments is opening cracks within the country’s ruling League party, after a prominent party official on Sunday dismissed it as “unrealistic.” Mini-bills, or... More »

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Rival in UK PM race calls on frontrunner Johnson to answer…

LONDON (Reuters) – The frontrunner to be Britain’s next prime minister, Boris Johnson, came under renewed pressure on Sunday to explain the circumstances of a late-night row between him and girlfriend that led to the police being called to their home. Polls co... More »

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Safe havens emerge in China, South Asia as recession risks grow

HONG KONG/SYDNEY (Reuters) – Fears of a global recession are on the rise as the U.S.-China trade war re-escalated in May, sending investors to the safety of U.S Treasuries, the Japanese yen and gold. But in Asia, investors are exploring new sanctuaries, from C... More »

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Hungarian scientists mull legal action over government controls

BUDAPEST (Reuters) – The head of Hungary’s oldest scientific institute said it was considering taking legal action to challenge government moves to take more control over research work and budgets. The nationalist administration of Prime Minister Viktor Orban ... More »

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World bonds wave recession flags as future inflation evaporates

LONDON (Reuters) – After almost three years of successfully predicting a global economic revival, world bond markets are furiously flagging the risk of yet another recession, as well as low inflation for a generation. Spooked by the escalating U.S.-China trade... More »

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Investment grade bond funds suck in record $12.3 billion as…

LONDON (Reuters) – Investors plowed a record $12.3 billion into investment grade bond funds and ditched equities over the past week, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Friday, as worries over trade tensions and the world economy reinforced a run for safe-ha... More »

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U.S. money market assets grow six straight weeks: iMoneyNet

NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. money market fund assets rose for a sixth consecutive week, bringing the total to a fresh nine-plus year peak as investors piled cash into low-risk funds on concerns about global trade tensions, a private report released on Wednesday ... More »

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U.S. money market assets rise five straight weeks: iMoneyNet

NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. money market fund assets rose for a fifth consecutive week, bringing its total to more than a nine-year high as investors pour cash into low-risk funds on concerns about escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, a private report released ... More »

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Investors wade back in to U.S. stocks as trade concerns mount

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Investors jumped back in to the U.S. stock market for the first time since mid-April by sending roughly $3.7 billion into mutual funds and exchange-traded funds that hold domestic equities last week, according to data released Wednesday by... More »

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First net inflows into global equities in 10 weeks: BAML

LONDON (Reuters) – Investors have added to their global equity holdings for the first time in 2-1/2 months and continued to pile into bonds, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Friday, as worries about the U.S.-China trade spat sent shudders through financia... More »

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Investors continue four-week retreat from U.S. stock market

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Investors continued a four-week long retreat from the U.S. stock market last week by unloading a net of nearly $9.6 billion in assets from domestic mutual and exchange-traded funds, according to data released Wednesday by the Investment Co... More »

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Investors shun equities, pile into bonds in past week: BAML

LONDON (Reuters) – Investors are neither extremely bullish nor bearish, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s gauge of market sentiment, as they weigh the impact of trade tensions between the United States and China. Investors pulled $19.5 billion out o... More »

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Euro zone banking at risk of dangerous fragmentation, ECB warns

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Euro zone banks are turning away from cross-border activity, putting at risk the bloc’s banking union and raising the risk of dangerous fragmentation, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Thursday. With national ru... More »

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DoubleLine’s Gundlach says new U.S. tariffs on China likely

(Reuters) – Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive officer at DoubleLine Capital, said on CNBC on Tuesday that he sees a better than 50% chance that new tariffs will happen. Wall Street’s main indexes tumbled more than 1 percent on Tuesday, as the latest turn in tr... More »

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New round of U.S. tariffs a ‘modest’ hit for euro area: ECB

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – A new round of tariffs between the United States and its main partners would only cause a “modest decrease” in the pace of economic growth in the euro zone, according to research by the European Central Bank. The study simulated a two-way... More »

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Stocks approach new highs but healthcare stymies Wall Street

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Stocks around the globe rose on Tuesday to six-month highs as positive economic data in China and Germany boosted investor sentiment, though concerns about the impact of U.S. policy on the healthcare sector paused Wall Street’s rally. Wall... More »

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Greece to strike deal this weekend to repay IMF early: official

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Greece is looking to strike a deal this weekend to repay early about half of the loans it received from the International Monetary Fund, in a bid to lower the euro zone member’s burden of debt servicing, a senior official said on Friday.... More »

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UK’s May has lost confidence of cabinet and party: lawmaker

LONDON (Reuters) – British Prime Minister Theresa May has lost the confidence of her senior ministers, lawmakers and party members, and should step down, said Andrew Bridgen, a Conservative lawmaker who supports a hard Brexit. “I hope that the cabinet will tel... More »

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Fed’s Evans says wait-and-see approach is prudent

HONG KONG (Reuters) – With downside risks looming and uncertainties rife, the U.S. Federal Reserve is prudent to wait for more economic data before deciding whether its next move will be to raise rates, or cut them, Chicago Fed Bank President Charles Evans sai... More »

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U.S. adds criminal charges against ex-Autonomy CEO Lynch

(Reuters) – U.S. prosecutors on Friday added three new criminal charges to their indictment against British entrepreneur Mike Lynch related to the $11.1 billion sale of his software company Autonomy to Hewlett-Packard in 2011. Lynch faces a new charge of secur... More »

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Equity funds see biggest weekly inflows in a year: BAML

LONDON (Reuters) – Investors plowed $14.2 billion into global equity funds this week, the largest amount in a year as investors jumped on to 2019’s stock market rally, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Friday, citing flow data provider EPFR. An index of gl... More »

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For Turkey’s economy, the worst is behind it: Albayrak

ISTANBUL (Reuters) – The worst is now behind Turkey’s economy, Turkish Finance Minister Berat Albayrak said on Monday, following the release of official data showing the economy contracted at a sharper than expected 3.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2018. O... More »

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Trump’s budget to land with a thud on Monday

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – When President Donald Trump proposes his 2020 federal budget on Monday, official Washington will likely have a quick look, shrug and move on, marking another stage in the quiet decay of the U.S. government’s traditional policy-making pro... More »

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Worst start to year for equity flows since 2008: BAML

LONDON (Reuters) – A $10 billion wipeout over the last week has compounded the worst start to a year for equity flows since 2008, Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategists said on Friday. Citing data from flow-tracker EPFR, BAML’s analysts calculated that just... More »

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ECB papers over euro zone cracks with more bank loans

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – The European Central Bank’s fourth round of cheap long-term loans targeted at banks may steer euro zone lenders away from a cliff edge in funding. But it is a symptom of, rather than a cure for, the bloc’s economic malaise that appears to... More »

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ECB pushes out rate hike, offers cheap cash to banks

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – The European Central Bank changed tack on its tightening plan on Thursday, pushing out the timing of its first post-crisis rate hike until 2020 at the earliest and offering banks a new round of cheap loans to help revive the euro zone eco... More »